2024 district baseline

US House Forecast

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Generic Ballot

Even

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Democrats 0
Republicans 0
Majority --
Median Seat --

Majority Curve

Hover to compare toggled scenarios at any generic ballot margin.

Current: Even

Demographic Swing Lab

Differential swing controls by district composition.

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Scenario Seat Effects

One GOP-to-Dem sorted strip; shaded seats disagree across scenarios or use new-map estimates.

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Scenario Deep Dive

Legal posture and model treatment for the selected scenario.

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Redistricting Map Versions

Scenario layer over the preserved 2024 district baseline.

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New District Line Diagnostics

Largest modeled changes from the 2024 district lean.

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District Status 2024 Lean Scenario Lean Modeled Shift Baseline Quality

Seat Movement

Actual 2024 House result --
2024 presidential baseline --
Current forecast vs actual --

Closest Seats

    District Detail

    Sorted by forecast margin closest to flipping.

    District Map 2024 Pres. Lean Demo Composition 2024 House Forecast